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Not so risky

2024 was the least volatile year in a while: The S&P 500 recorded 31 trading days with at least a 1% gain and 19 sessions with a decline of 1% or more, the least in 5 years. This was below the 31 large up days and 19 large down days posted in 2023.


By comparison, there were 63 sessions with a 1%+ gain and 59 sessions with a 1%+ drop in 2022, the most since 2009.


As a result, the volatility index, VIX (for the S&P 500), averaged 15.6% in 2024, the lowest reading since 15.4% seen in 2019.


This followed the VIX’s average closing price of 16.9% and 25.6% in 2023 and 2022, respectively.

Will markets become more volatile this year?


Sources: Kobeissi Letter, Charles-Henry Monchau

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